“Green Shoots” in the Economy

Cindy Crossett | April 22, 2021

Investors looking for "green shoots" to confirm that the economy is on the mend have seen plenty of examples in recent weeks.

Retail sales rose 9.8% in March, the largest monthly gain since May 2020. It's important to remember that purchases at stores, restaurants, and online are among the biggest drivers of overall economic activity. The gain coincides with the government distributing hundreds of billions of dollars in stimulus funds to households.¹

New jobless claims came in at 576,000 for the week ended April 10—the lowest level since March 14, 2020, and continuing unemployment claims were at their lowest four-week moving average since March 28, 2020.²

Housing starts rose 19.4% to 1.7 million units in March, the highest level since June 2006.³

Green shoots is a term used to indicate signs of economic recovery after a downturn. It's a reference to when plants start to show signs of life again. Most recently, former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke used the metaphor to describe the economic recovery following the 2007-2008 financial crisis.⁴

There is no doubt the economy may face several challenges in the months ahead. Interest rates, taxes, and inflation are three issues that may take over the headlines at any time.⁵

But please know that we're keeping a close eye on the economic trends. This watchfulness is in an attempt to determine "what's the signal and what's the noise" as events unfold. In the meantime, feel free to reach out us at 928-639-3828 if you anticipate any green shoots in your personal finances. We'd welcome the chance to hear your story.

^{1. The Wall Street Journal, April 15, 2021}
^{2. Department of Labor News Release, April 15, 2021}
^{3. Reuters, April 16, 2021}
^{4. Investopedia.com, 2021}
^{5. CNBC.com, April 14, 2021}

^{Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.}

^{The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG Suite, LLC, is not affiliated with the named representative, broker-dealer, state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.}